Corinthians have conceded in four of their last five official matches – against Cascavel (1-1), Grêmio (3-1, but they conceded a goal), Platenes (0-2), and Peñarol (1-1). They have scored in three of those five matches, and their home statistics show that Corinthians concede more than one goal per game on average at home, especially against teams that play second fiddle and look for their chances on the counterattack.
Remo, on the other hand, have been playing an open, defensively-minded style this season – their recent matches have been littered with goals from both sides: a 3-2 win over Chapecoense, a 1-2 defeat to Atlético Paranaense, a 1-1 draw with Palmeiras, and even a 1-0 defeat to São Paulo – the only goalless match in their last five matches. Remo scores consistently even on the road, and their attack is aggressive, which is especially dangerous against Corinthians' less-than-reliable defense. Both teams are near the bottom of the table (12th and 19th, respectively), which often forces them to take risks in attack in an attempt to gain points.
Considering Corinthians' average home goal difference is 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, while Remo's away average is 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, the probability of goals scored in both matches exceeds 60%. Both teams have defensive issues (Remo's goal difference is -8, Corinthians' -1), but they also have fast wingers capable of exploiting space.
