This Round of 16 match promises to be a test for the favorites. Paraguay already caused a sensation by eliminating Germany on penalties and is now aiming to repeat the feat. However, La Albirroja rely on extremely defensive football, deep defense, and tactical fouls to slow down their opponents' attacks. In the Round of 16, Paraguay demonstrated incredible resilience and self-sacrifice, but their attacking potential is extremely limited: they have scored only one goal from open play in their last two matches and rarely create chances near the opponent's goal.
In contrast, France has demonstrated the tournament's most potent attack. Les Bleus have scored 13 goals in four matches, and the partnership of Mbappé, Dembélé, and Oliseh (who has already provided five assists) is the most dangerous at the 2026 World Cup. According to the Opta supercomputer, France's chances of winning in regulation time are estimated at 80.3%. The French have a colossal advantage in class and experience, as well as a solid head-to-head record, having gone five matches unbeaten against Paraguay.
Based on their opponent's game model, Paraguay will do everything they can to keep a clean sheet, but they lack the resources to launch regular attacks. France, despite potential resistance, has enough individual skill to penetrate any defense. Given that Paraguay is unlikely to score a goal, and the French defense, led by Saliba and Upamecano, looks solid, we expect the French to win without conceding a goal.
