The match between an underdog and a mid-table Icelandic league team could hold a surprise. Thor Akureyri is bottom of the table, having lost nine of 12 matches with a goal difference of 9-30, but the hosts are feeling confident in their head-to-head encounters with Valur, winning their last away game 2-1. Valur (5th place) have won eight of their last 11 head-to-head encounters, with a goal difference of 28-18.
Valur concedes an average of 2.1 goals per match, while Thor Akureyri concedes 2.7, so the total in their encounters is traditionally high: three of their last five have seen the total go over 2.5. Meanwhile, the hosts have lost four matches in a row at home, while Valur looks to be the better team in high-scoring away games.
We expect the visitors to win a high-scoring match; Valur has the upper hand in class, but its defense is unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
