Real Oviedo's main argument in favor is their phenomenal current form and their desperate fight for survival. They have won three of their last four matches, including a 3-0 away defeat of Celta Vigo, and have noticeably improved their attack, scoring in five consecutive games. Playing at home, motivated by their last chance to survive, the hosts will be fighting for every point. Their statistics also underscore their reliability at home: they are unbeaten in eight of their last 10 home matches.
Villarreal are the clear favorites in this clash, sitting third in the table (61 points after 31 matches) and boasting experienced players like Parejo. However, the visitors approach the game in a somewhat relaxed state, having practically secured a Champions League spot. This is reflected in their away results: Villarreal have won only two of their last nine away matches and have conceded in seven in a row. In this situation, dropping points against a struggling underdog is more than likely.
Real Oviedo is unbeaten in eight of its last ten home matches, and Villarreal is winless in six of its eight away matches. Betting on the hosts to at least avoid defeat seems the most logical and reasonable bet.
