The Munich team has scored 100 goals in 28 matches, and their attack is the best in the league. St. Pauli, in 16th place with 25 points, concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game. Bayern, meanwhile, only scores in exceptional circumstances—their last clean sheet was in February 2025, while the visitors have conceded in their last six matches in a row.
A key factor in favor of the top prediction is their exceptional tournament motivation. St. Pauli is fighting for survival and will be extremely aggressive at home. The home team's coach, Alexander Blessin, has openly stated that the team hopes to take advantage of Bayern's possible rotation ahead of the Champions League second leg against Real Madrid. Despite Bayern winning 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches, the hosts have an advantage: 52% of their goals have come from set pieces, while Bayern have conceded 48% of their goals from set pieces.
Considering that Bayern have scored in 44 consecutive matches across all competitions, and St. Pauli have consistently conceded in their last three, a goal from the visitors is practically inevitable. The hosts, meanwhile, with the support of the Millerntor stadium, are capable of scoring at least once. Therefore, a bet with a goal exchange is possible, but only Bayern could score four goals.
