Bayern are heading into the first leg of the quarterfinals in Madrid in fantastic form – they're unbeaten in 13 matches and have scored at least one goal in every away game this season. They crushed Atalanta 10-2 on aggregate in the Round of 16, and then staged a comeback against Freiburg (3-2) in the final Bundesliga match. Harry Kane, despite a minor ankle problem, trained with the rest of the group and is expected to be in the starting lineup. Considering Real Madrid have conceded in four of their last five matches, and seven of their previous eight head-to-head matches have been "both teams to score," the visitors have every chance of scoring on the road.
Real Madrid may have lost 2-1 to Mallorca in the final round of La Liga, but they've traditionally been on a roll in the Champions League. In the Round of 16, Los Blancos comfortably defeated Manchester City (5-1 on aggregate), and at the Santiago Bernabéu, Arbeloa's side have won four of their last six meetings against Bayern. Vinicius Junior and Valverde are expected to return to the squad for the upcoming game, boosting the hosts' attacking potential. Given that Real Madrid has scored at least twice against Bayern in seven consecutive head-to-head matches, they are capable of scoring against Neuer at least once, but are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
Prediction: Bayern's individual goals over 1.5 goals seems reasonable, given their current scoring streak and Real Madrid's defensive struggles in recent matches. The German machine scores an average of over two goals per game in the Champions League, and Kane, Oliseh, and Gnabry are capable of converting their chances even on the road. Expected score: 2-1 for either team, or 2-2, but Bayern must score at least twice against Lunin.
