In the 27th round of Serie A, Udinese will host Fiorentina, opponents who desperately need points to achieve various objectives. The hosts are in a deep crisis: three consecutive defeats by a 2-5 aggregate score, while the team has consistently conceded and scored in each of those matches. Udinese has scored in seven of its last eight matches, but the Friulian side's defense has been prone to breakdowns.
Fiorentina are also far from their best form: just one win in their last five matches, but they have scored in four of those five matches (including regulation time against Jagiellonia). The visitors' problem is a disastrous defense, and their goalkeeping, despite the presence of De Gea, doesn't inspire confidence.
Their head-to-head statistics confirm the scoring trend: the last four head-to-head matches have seen over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring. Given both teams' defensive problems and their ability to create chances, betting on the total seems like the optimal bet—the teams are in scoring form, but lack defensive stability.