The first match in Armenia ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for Noah, which was unexpected given the difference in class and experience. However, AZ Alkmaar is in excellent form: the team is unbeaten in five matches in a row, winning four, including convincing victories over Sparta (3-1) and Twente (2-1). The Dutch giants are traditionally strong at home and are capable of overcoming a handicap thanks to their excellent ball control and attacking versatility.
Noah is playing their first European playoffs in their history and, judging by their recent friendlies, is far from optimal form. In February, the Armenian club failed to beat Astana (0-0) and suffered a heavy defeat to Rostov (0-3), highlighting their defensive issues against stronger opponents. It will be extremely difficult to maintain a lead away from home against AZ, who will be playing with great motivation. The hosts need to score at least two goals, and they'll do so with plenty to spare. AZ has tremendous European experience and the depth of their squad to break down their modest opponents in the first half.
