Penarol have been awful in the tournament, losing all 5 matches by a combined score of 3-16. Naturally, Peñarol have no chance of making the play-offs.
As for America Minas Gerais, they still have a chance of making the playoffs, but for that they need to win today, and hope that Mylonarios will lose in the next match. Either way, the chances are there, but you need to win today to start with, the probability of such an outcome is high, in the previous face-to-face match America Mineiro defeated Peñarol 4-1.
Prediction: America Minas Gerais to win. We recommend the “2 Win” bet, odds 2.16