Finland heads into the match at Helsinki's Olympic Stadium as the clear favorite following a resounding 7–0 victory over San Marino in the opening round of the Nations League. Striker Joel Pohjanpalo scored a hat-trick, while Leo Walta netted a brace. The Finns also boast an impressive home record—winning three of their last four matches on home soil—and bookmakers have priced a home victory at odds of approximately 1.60–1.70.
Belarus, by contrast, is mired in a prolonged slump. Viktor Goncharenko’s team lost their opening match against Albania (0–2) and is winless in 11 consecutive competitive fixtures. Their away record leaves much to be desired, and they have consistently struggled against Finland (suffering two defeats and three draws in their five previous encounters).
Given the disparity in squad quality and the momentum gained from their emphatic recent win, a home victory appears the most likely outcome. Finland is well-positioned to secure three points on home turf and consolidate their lead in the group.
