The first leg in Switzerland ended in a crushing 3-0 victory for Thun, putting the Icelandic club in a difficult position heading into the return leg. However, Vikingur Reykjavik is renowned for its home strength: the team has won all four of its last home matches, scoring an average of 2.75 goals per game. With a three-goal lead, Thun can play more freely, creating space for the hosts, who will be forced to attack from the start.
Both teams' defenses have been poor recently. Thun has conceded 13 goals in its last five matches, and analytical models predict a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals. Statistics also confirm the teams' high scoring performance: 70% of Vikingur's matches and 60% of Thun's have seen over 2.5 goals. Considering that Vikingur will be attacking from the first minutes to save the series, and Thun will certainly find their moments on the counterattack, we predict at least three goals in this match.
