This Europa League qualifier pits two attacking teams that rarely leave the field without scoring. Beşiktaş has been defensively inconsistent in recent friendlies, conceding goals to Spartak Trnava (2-3), Maljorženice (1-1), and Vidzew (0-2), while scoring in three of their five matches. Even in poor performances, the Turkish club creates chances, and their home status forces them to play on the front foot, inevitably opening up counterattacks for their opponents.
Midtjylland is in excellent form and is racking up goals: a 4-1 rout of Odense, a 4-2 rout of Silkeborg, a 2-0 win over Cardiff, and a 6-0 rout in one of their friendly matches—the Danes have scored in every match without fail. Their attack is well-coordinated and sharp, while their high defensive line and aggressive pressing often lead to goals from both sides. Midtjylland traditionally plays boldly even on the road in European competitions, and they have every chance of scoring against a Beşiktaş defense weakened by personnel losses.
Both teams will be open: the Turks need to win at home, while the Danes are not good at holding on to goals. The statistics from recent matches speak volumes: both sides have high xG and total shots attempted. The expected score is 2-1 or 1-1, but the key outcome is goals from both teams. The probability of this happening exceeds 65%, so the bet looks very reliable given the teams' current form.