This semifinal will pit the tournament's most flamboyant attack against its most reliable defense. France has won all six matches, scoring 16 goals, with Mbappé and Dembélé already having scored five or more goals in the tournament. Spain, meanwhile, has conceded just one goal and is unbeaten in 36 matches, but in the playoffs, they have won narrowly, often with aplomb. Despite France's prolific scoring, Spain has demonstrated its ability to contain top opponents, and their ball control could be key.
Their head-to-head record and statistics support a goalscoring style. Spain has won their last two head-to-head matches in major tournament semifinals: at Euro 2024 (2-1) and the 2025 Nations League (5-4). Both teams scored in both matches, confirming their mutual attacking effectiveness. Moreover, France, with Mbappé in tournament-leading form (8 goals), simply doesn't have a habit of leaving the field without scoring, while Spain consistently finds its chances even in the toughest matches.
Betting on both teams to score seems the most logical bet. France's attacking potential and Spain's ability to capitalize on their chances, backed by their head-to-head statistics, make this outcome the most likely. A clean sheet is unlikely against two of Europe's strongest teams, and a zero-scoring semifinal is unlikely in such a tense match.
