Despite their recent Champions League setback, Sturm are clear favorites in their upcoming match against Altach. The Graz team is fourth in the table with four points and a 3-1 goal difference, while their opponents are just three points below. Sturm are particularly strong at home, as evidenced by their crushing 4-0 victory over Hearts in the Champions League qualifiers.
Altach's problems on the road give the hosts an additional advantage. The visitors have only won two of their 16 away games, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match. In head-to-head encounters at Sturm, the hosts also have the advantage: they won their last match at the Merkur Arena 2-0. Given these factors, as well as Sturm's high motivation following their Champions League exit and their desire to redeem themselves in the eyes of their fans, a victory for the hosts appears the most likely outcome.
Given their statistics, current form, and the advantage of being on home soil, the Graz team has every reason to end their losing streak in European competitions and confidently take three points in the league.