Ludogorets enters this match as the clear favorites, and for good reason. The Eagles finished third in the Bulgarian championship, demonstrating a strong home performance (averaging 1.72 goals per match with a solid defense), although it's worth noting that bronze is a weak result for them this season. While Lokomotiv has shown inconsistent results on the road, Ludogorets has traditionally played confidently at Huvefarma Arena, having lost only once in their last head-to-head matches. Given the enormous difference in class and the crowd's support, the hosts are expected to win the first leg.
Their head-to-head record also points to Ludogorets' dominance. In the history of this match, the Eagles have won 31 of 49 matches, although both matches this season have ended in draws.
Although their most recent head-to-head encounters have often ended in draws (1-1 in March and September 2025), it's the decisive playoff tie and home field advantage that will spur the champions on. Ludogorets is too powerful offensively and stable defensively to let victory slip away in such a crucial match for European qualification.
