The Israeli championship is approaching its climax, and Hapoel Be'er Sheva is in stellar form. The team is top of the standings with 23 wins in 34 matches and boasts an impressive home record: 69% wins, just 0.75 goals conceded per game, and no losses. Hapoel has looked confident in recent matches – a 4-2 rout of Petah Tikva and a 2-0 shutout win over Tel Aviv confirm the team's championship credentials. At home, Hapoel has scored in every first-half game for nine consecutive games, indicating a strong start.
Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the other hand, is approaching the derby in a weakened state. The team is in third place, 11 points behind the leaders, and has shown inconsistent results on the road: only 50% of away wins and 63% of conceded goals. The visitors no longer have much motivation, as they will remain in third place regardless.
Hapoel is showing the best home form in the league, while Maccabi has not won at this opponent's home ground in their recent head-to-head encounters. Considering the motivation of the leaders, who are unbeaten for nine matches in a row, and the visitors' problems with their away defense, a bet on Hapoel seems the most logical choice.