Real Madrid hosts underdog and already relegated Oviedo at a time when both teams have nothing to lose, but the difference in class is enormous. Despite losing the title and suffering a 2-0 defeat to Barcelona in the Clásico, Madrid remains a formidable force at the Santiago Bernabéu, with 14 wins in 17 home matches. Oviedo has the league's worst attack (only 26 goals this season) and a dreadful away record: 11 defeats in 18 away games. Real Madrid comfortably won 3-0 in the first half, and they should repeat that at home.
Although Real Madrid is experiencing serious personnel problems (injuries to Mbappé, Militao, Valverde, Mendy, and Güler), even the hosts' semi-reserve squad is a cut above their opponents. The Asturians have conceded at least three goals in six of their last eight away games, and their low-blocking defensive tactic is failing due to a lack of counterattacking. On the other hand, Oviedo lacks motivation, and their players have already mentally retired from the season.
Considering that Real Madrid has beaten the -1.5 handicap in eight of its 15 home matches, and Oviedo is simply incapable of putting up a fight in its current form, a home win by at least two goals seems extremely reliable. We expect a repeat of the first half scenario: confident Real Madrid control the game and at least two or three goals against the visitors.
