Game 4 of the Montreal-Buffalo series promises to be another goal-scoring fest. In the first three playoff games, the teams combined for 6, 6, and 8 goals, respectively, and their last 10 head-to-head meetings (including the regular season) have all ended with a total of at least 6 goals. This incredible scoring is explained by their uncompromising style: the winner of this series is averaging 5 goals per game.
A key factor in the continued dominance is the goaltending inconsistency of both teams. Jacob Dobas (Montreal) and Alex Lyon (Buffalo) have been having successive poor performances: while Lyon was more confident in the first game of the series, Dobas has since won the goaltending duel, allowing only 3 goals in the two wins. However, projection models predict both goalies will finish the game with save percentages below .89%.
Considering that Montreal will be looking to secure a spot in the conference semifinals at home, and Buffalo will be forced to play as openly as possible after two consecutive losses, a bet on a total of over 5 goals seems the most logical.
