This matchup pits teams from opposite ends of the table. Lens is fighting for second place (64 points) and boasts the best home record in the league: 13 wins in 15 matches at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Nantes, on the other hand, is in the relegation zone (23 points) and has lost seven of its last nine away matches. Their first-leg encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Lens, and Lens has won four of its last five matches.
The home team's personnel situation only exacerbates the hosts' advantage. Nantes has serious defensive issues: key players Kelvin Amian and Fabien Santonze are out for the rest of the season, and captain Anthony Lopes is a doubt. Despite missing the suspended Adrien Thomasson, Lens retains a strong attacking presence, scoring 61 goals this season compared to the visitors' 29. Florian Thauvin (10 goals) and Odsonne Edouard (12 goals) have already punished their opponents' weak defense on more than one occasion.
Given Lens' overwhelming home advantage, their visitors' weakness on the road, and the hosts' colossal tournament motivation, there's virtually no doubt about the outcome. Lens is aiming to strengthen its position in the Champions League, while Nantes is unlikely to have much of a chance to counter them on the road.