The main intrigue of this round is the battle for third place and a Champions League spot. Manchester United (3rd place, 61 points) has been transformed under Michael Carrick, beating Liverpool 2-1 at Anfield in the first leg. However, the Reds (4th place, 58 points) are heading into the derby on a three-game winning streak in the Premier League and are motivated to overtake their arch-neighbor. Given that nine of their last 19 head-to-head matches have ended in draws, with both teams scoring, we expect an open game.
The most important factor is the visitors' personnel losses. Their leading scorer in the history of the match, Mohamed Salah, will miss the match due to injury, which is a huge blow to Liverpool's attack, but the visitors always have someone to score against. The hosts have Bruno Fernandes (19 assists) in perfect condition, constantly creating chances. United's defense is far from ideal (46 goals conceded), while Liverpool, even without Salah, are capable of scoring.
Firstly, the record at Old Trafford often boasts goals from both sides. Secondly, the teams are positioned next to each other in the table, and a draw would suit United (it guarantees European qualification), while the visitors need only a win. This tactical setup will free up their attacking options. We expect Bruno Fernandes to continue racking up points, and the hosts' defense to falter again.
