Hamburg's defense is in deep crisis: they have conceded in their last 10 matches in a row, and are allowing opponents an average of 2.40 chances per game. Meanwhile, the hosts' attack, while inconsistent (only 33 goals this season), regularly disappoints Hoffenheim in head-to-head encounters – Hamburg have scored in six of their last eight matches.
Hoffenheim is facing a similar pattern: a powerful attack against a porous defense. The visitors are fighting for a Champions League spot, sitting in fifth place, and are demonstrating an excellent scoring record – 59 goals in 30 matches, an average of 1.97 per game. However, their defense is also vulnerable: they have conceded in their last nine matches in a row, and the average number of goals conceded per game is reaching 3.00. Hoffenheim have scored in five of their last seven head-to-head encounters with Hamburg, and even thrashed the hosts 4-1 in the first half.
Statistics show that the percentage of matches this season with a goal scored in both matches is 60% for Hamburg at home and 67% for Hoffenheim away. Given the hosts' current form, the defensive losses, and the visitors' motivation to compete for European competition, a bet involving a goal exchange seems the most logical choice.
