Monza is third in the league table, with 21 wins and only 5 losses, while Modena is sixth with 14 wins and 11 losses. The home team has demonstrated more consistent football throughout the season and continues to fight for promotion, avoiding the playoffs.
An analysis of recent matches and personnel issues also speaks in Monza's favor. The team is approaching the game on a winning streak, having won two in a row, and is looking to strengthen its position in the Serie A playoffs. In their first-leg encounter on December 26, 2025, Monza confidently defeated Modena 2-1 away. Importantly, the home team will have the support of their home crowd at the U-Power Stadium, which is an additional factor.
Modena will inevitably be playing in the quarter-finals of the promotion playoffs, and they're also struggling with their squad—key players, including starting goalkeeper Chichitzola and striker Gliozzi, are in the infirmary. Monza, meanwhile, looks extremely confident at home and is expected to take three points against an opponent they're inferior to.
