Union Saint-Gilloise leads the league with 42 points, having won all three playoff matches by a combined score of 4-1. Furthermore, Union is in fantastic form, having won six league games in a row. Meanwhile, Gent is only fifth with 25 points and just zero wins in their last three matches (two draws and a loss), highlighting the vastly different levels of play at the end of the season.
The head-to-head record is also entirely in the hosts' favor. Union are unbeaten in their last five matches against Gent, winning four and drawing one. Analysts give the hosts a 62% chance of winning, while the visitors' chances are only 16.5%. Given Gent's defensive problems (weak against fast attacks and set pieces, which is the hosts' strength), Union are expected to take all three points.