Based on their current form, head-to-head record, and personnel situation, Barcelona looks like the clear favorite in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal against Atlético Madrid. Hansi Flick's side enter the game at the Camp Nou in fantastic spirit, riding a run of 14 consecutive home wins in all competitions, including a 7-2 thrashing of Newcastle in the Round of 16. Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid have suffered three consecutive defeats in La Liga, which will clearly impact their mental state.
A key factor in the hosts' favor is their incredible scoring record and ability to outscore opponents on home soil. The Blaugrana have scored 80 goals in 30 league matches, and have scored 10 times in their last three home games against Atlético. Moreover, in the last 20 years, Atlético have only won once away from home against Barcelona, highlighting the Catalans' colossal advantage at home.
Despite the injury-hit loss of Rafinha, Barcelona's attacking potential remains extremely high thanks to Lewandowski, Rashford, and Yamal. Considering that eight of their last nine head-to-head matches have resulted in at least three goals, and Atlético will be forced to risk scoring an away goal, a Barcelona victory seems the most reasonable bet. The hosts are expected to continue their winning streak and make a strong bid to reach the semifinals.
