The hosts are fourth in the table and boast a powerful attack, scoring 63 goals in 34 matches. The visitors, who are 16th, concede an average of 2.1 goals per game, and their defense is one of the worst in the league (66 goals conceded).
An analysis of recent meetings also confirms the scoring trend. Five of the last six head-to-head matches between these teams have seen over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in four of those. Furthermore, Grafschap scores in 90% of their home matches, while Jong AZ has scored in seven of their last nine away games. The visitors have conceded in 14 of their last 15 away matches.
Given Grafschap's attacking potential (2.17 goals per match on average) and the visitors' weak defense, who have lost 10 of their 14 away matches, we can expect at least three goals in this match. The likelihood that Jong AZ will be able to respond with a goal of their own is also high - the visitors have scored in 6 of their last 8 away matches.
