For Qarabag, reaching the Champions League round of 16 is already considered a huge achievement. But in home matches, the Azerbaijani club is capable of putting up a fight even against top-tier opponents – they drew 2-2 with Chelsea and also beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2.
Newcastle has picked up great momentum in recent matches: wins over Aston Villa (3-1) and Tottenham (2-1) demonstrate the team's attacking potential. At the same time, the Magpies have consistently conceded away from home – keeping just one clean sheet in their last six away matches. Even in the 3-1 loss to Man City, they managed to score, bringing their total to 17 goals in eight Champions League matches.
Given both teams' open styles, their need to score, and a record where five of Qarabag's last six matches and four of Newcastle's last five have seen over 2.5 goals, this outcome seems the most likely. Neither side's defense looks secure.
