Hoffenheim are having their best season ever: third place, 44 goals, and a run of four wins in five matches, broken only in Munich. The "Village Boys" are churning out chances even without key players—Kramaric and Asllani are fine. The problem lies elsewhere: Ilzer's team is conceding exactly as many goals as it scores (28 in 21 matches), and Bayern easily found five gaps.
Freiburg is an ideal opponent for betting on goals from both sides. Schuster's team never shuts out their neighbors: in their last five head-to-head encounters, both sides have scored. The Brazilians from Breisgau have won four of their last five encounters, but have never kept a clean sheet. Plus, the visitors played a tough cup match in Berlin and have two days less rest.
Both teams are struggling defensively in this derby. Hoffenheim score consistently at home, Freiburg will find a chance on set pieces or rebounds.
