RB Leipzig is fourth in the league table, showing a strong attacking play, but the battle for a top-four spot is extremely tight, as Stuttgart also has 36 points but trails on goal difference. Leipzig has traditionally been particularly strong at home, with 7 wins in 9 matches, behind only the other top Bundesliga clubs.
Mainz is in the relegation zone, showing inconsistent results. Recently, they have started to pick up points, but only in home matches against other outsiders. The team has a weak defense, having conceded 32 goals, and has significant problems on the road. In their first head-to-head match of the season, Mainz lost 1-0 to Leipzig.
Given the significant difference in class and motivation between the teams, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
