Israel has demonstrated more consistent results in the current qualifying round, sitting third in their group. The team has demonstrated confident play, particularly in attack, as evidenced by 15 goals scored in seven matches. The home advantage adds an additional advantage.
Moldova is in a deep crisis, having not won a single game in seven matches. The team has serious problems both offensively and defensively, having conceded 28 goals—the worst in the group.
This match is no longer significant in terms of tournament contention, but significant rotations are unlikely. Given the difference in class, the teams' current form, and the group stage statistics, a confident victory for the hosts is most likely.